{"id":514,"date":"2019-11-21T11:08:18","date_gmt":"2019-11-21T08:08:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/akhmees.info\/ar\/?p=514"},"modified":"2019-11-28T09:58:54","modified_gmt":"2019-11-28T06:58:54","slug":"%d9%84%d9%85%d8%a7%d8%b0%d8%a7-%d8%a3%d8%ad%d8%aa%d8%a7%d8%ac-%d8%a3%d9%86-%d8%a3%d8%aa%d8%b9%d9%84%d9%91%d9%85-%d9%86%d9%81%d8%b3-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d9%88%d8%b6%d9%88%d8%b9-%d8%b9%d8%af%d8%a9-%d9%85","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/akhmees.info\/ar\/%d9%84%d9%85%d8%a7%d8%b0%d8%a7-%d8%a3%d8%ad%d8%aa%d8%a7%d8%ac-%d8%a3%d9%86-%d8%a3%d8%aa%d8%b9%d9%84%d9%91%d9%85-%d9%86%d9%81%d8%b3-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d9%88%d8%b6%d9%88%d8%b9-%d8%b9%d8%af%d8%a9-%d9%85\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0623\u062d\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0623\u0646 \u0623\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0646\u0641\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0631\u0627\u062a\u061f"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2008\" height=\"782\" src=\"https:\/\/akhmees.info\/ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/C70C7185-0563-41CE-AA45-D9757A1E266D.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-532\" srcset=\"https:\/\/akhmees.info\/ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/C70C7185-0563-41CE-AA45-D9757A1E266D.jpeg 2008w, https:\/\/akhmees.info\/ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/C70C7185-0563-41CE-AA45-D9757A1E266D-300x117.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/akhmees.info\/ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/C70C7185-0563-41CE-AA45-D9757A1E266D-1024x399.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/akhmees.info\/ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/C70C7185-0563-41CE-AA45-D9757A1E266D-768x299.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/akhmees.info\/ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/C70C7185-0563-41CE-AA45-D9757A1E266D-1536x598.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/akhmees.info\/ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/C70C7185-0563-41CE-AA45-D9757A1E266D-1568x611.jpeg 1568w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2008px) 100vw, 2008px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0628\u0648\u0639 \u0643\u0646\u062a \u0623\u0642\u0631\u0623 \u0639\u0646 \u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u064a\u062f\u0639\u0649 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=BrK7X_XlGB8\">Bayesian Thinking<\/a> \u0645\u0646 \u0643\u062a\u0627\u0628 <a href=\"https:\/\/fs.blog\/tgmm\/\">Mental Models<\/a>. \u0627\u0644Bayesian Thinking  \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u062d\u0649 \u0645\u0646 \u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621 \u062a\u062f\u0639\u0649 <a href=\"https:\/\/ar.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%D9%85%D8%A8%D8%B1%D9%87%D9%86%D8%A9_%D8%A8%D8%A7%D9%8A%D8%B2\">Bayes&#8217; theorem<\/a> \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u062f\u0631\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0627  \u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0631 \u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0644\u0648 \u062a\u0633\u0623\u0644\u0646\u064a \u0647\u0644 \u0628\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0634\u0631\u062d\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u0643 \u0644\u062a\u0644\u0639\u062b\u0645\u062a \u0648\u062a\u0643\u0644\u0651\u0645\u062a \u0628\u0639\u062f\u0629 \u062c\u0645\u0644 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645\u0629. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0635\u0631\u0627\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u0645\u0632\u0639\u062c! \u0644\u0623\u0646\u064a \u0642\u0636\u064a\u062a \u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0633\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0639\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0627\u0647\u064a\u0645 \u0648\u0623\u0634\u0639\u0631 \u0623\u0646 \u0648\u0642\u062a\u064a \u0630\u0647\u0628 \u0647\u0628\u0627\u0621\u064b\u0627.  \u062f\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0630\u0643\u0631 \u0644\u0643 \u0643\u0645 \u0645\u0631\u0651\u0629 \u062f\u0631\u0633\u062a \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639\u060c  \u0645\u0631\u0651\u0629 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u062a\u064a \u0644\u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0643\u0627\u0644\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0633 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0641\u0647\u0645\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0648 \u062a\u0639\u0644\u0645\u062a \u0643\u064a\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a\u0627\u064b. \u0645\u0631\u0651\u0629 \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u0641\u064a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.udacity.com\/course\/data-analyst-nanodegree--nd002\">\u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627\u0645\u062c \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0646 Udacity<\/a> \u062d\u064a\u062b \u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0643\u062a\u0628\u062a \u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0627\u0645\u062c \u062a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f\u0643 \u0641\u064a \u0625\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u062a \u0628\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0648\u0645\u0639 \u0643\u0644 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0647\u0648\u062f \u0644\u0627 \u0623\u0633\u062a\u0637\u064a\u0639 \u0634\u0631\u062d \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0633\u0647\u0644.  \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0645 \u0623\u0646\u064a \u0645\u062a\u0623\u0643\u062f \u0623\u0646\u064a \u0641\u0647\u0645\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u062c\u064a\u062f\u0627\u064b \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0631\u062d\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0641\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0644\u0627\u0623\u0633\u062a\u0637\u064a\u0639 \u0625\u0633\u062a\u062d\u0636\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0629\u061f  \u0644\u0645\u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0644\u0627\u0623\u0633\u062a\u0637\u064a\u0639 \u062a\u062e\u0632\u064a\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0628\u062f\u061f <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p> \u0644\u062f\u064a \u0639\u062f\u0629 \u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0643\u0625\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0624\u0627\u0644:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>\u0641\u0647\u0645\u062a \u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0644\u0645 \u0623\u0641\u0647\u0645 \u062c\u0630\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629<\/li><li>\u0644\u0645 \u0623\u0642\u0645 \u0628\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642 \u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0639 \u062a\u0631\u0633\u0651\u062e \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0627\u0647\u064a\u0645<\/li><li>\u062e\u0644\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0645 \u0648\u062a\u062e\u0632\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0629<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u064a\u062f \u0623\u0646\u064a \u0644\u0627 \u0623\u0631\u064a\u062f \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u062a\u0643\u0631\u0631 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u0645\u062c\u062f\u062f\u0627\u064b \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0623\u0646\u0648\u064a \u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645\u0647\u0627.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p> \u0641\u0645\u0627\u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0644 \u064a\u0627\u0631\u0641\u0627\u0642\u061f \u0645\u0627\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631\u0643\u0645 \u0644\u0645\u0650\u0627 \u0623\u0645\u0631 \u0641\u064a\u0647\u061f <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0627\u0644\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0647\u0648 \u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u062f \u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0644\u0625\u0628\u0642\u0627\u0621 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0644\u0623\u0637\u0648\u0644 \u0648\u0642\u062a \u0645\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u062b \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0646\u064a \u0631\u0628\u0637\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0639 \u0645\u0641\u0627\u0647\u064a\u0645 \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u0648\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621 \u0645\u0639\u0631\u0641\u0629 \u062a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f\u0646\u064a \u0641\u064a \u062d\u064a\u0627\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0634\u062e\u0635\u064a\u0629. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0644\u062f\u064a \u0639\u062f\u0629 \u062a\u0643\u0647\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0646 \u0645\u0627\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0646\u064a \u062a\u062c\u0631\u0628\u062a\u0647:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=_f-qkGJBPts\">\u0631\u064a\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0631\u062f \u0641\u0627\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0646<\/a> \u0641\u064a \u0634\u0631\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u0644\u0634\u062e\u0635 \u0622\u062e\u0631 \u0628\u0625\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0643\u0644\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0633\u0647\u0644 (\u0641\u0639\u0651\u0627\u0644\u060c \u0644\u0643\u0646 \u064a\u062d\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0642\u062a)<\/li><li>\u0625\u064a\u062c\u0627\u062f \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u062e\u0632\u064a\u0646 \u0647\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0627\u0647\u064a\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0642\u0644\u064a \u0628\u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u062c\u0648\u0639 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638\u0627\u062a\u064a (\u0623\u0639\u062a\u0642\u062f <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Warren_Buffett\">\u0648\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0641\u064a\u062a<\/a> \u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629)<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0628\u0648\u0639 \u0643\u0646\u062a \u0623\u0642\u0631\u0623 \u0639\u0646 \u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u064a\u062f\u0639\u0649 Bayesian Thinking \u0645\u0646 \u0643\u062a\u0627\u0628 Mental Models. \u0627\u0644Bayesian Thinking \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u062d\u0649 \u0645\u0646 \u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0621 \u062a\u062f\u0639\u0649 Bayes&#8217; theorem \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0646\u0638\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u062f\u0631\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0631 \u0633\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0644\u0648 \u062a\u0633\u0623\u0644\u0646\u064a \u0647\u0644 \u0628\u0625\u0645\u0643\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0634\u0631\u062d\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u0643 \u0644\u062a\u0644\u0639\u062b\u0645\u062a \u0648\u062a\u0643\u0644\u0651\u0645\u062a \u0628\u0639\u062f\u0629 \u062c\u0645\u0644 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0641\u0647\u0648\u0645\u0629. \u0635\u0631\u0627\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u0645\u0632\u0639\u062c! \u0644\u0623\u0646\u064a \u0642\u0636\u064a\u062a \u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0633\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0639\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0647\u0630\u0647 &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/akhmees.info\/ar\/%d9%84%d9%85%d8%a7%d8%b0%d8%a7-%d8%a3%d8%ad%d8%aa%d8%a7%d8%ac-%d8%a3%d9%86-%d8%a3%d8%aa%d8%b9%d9%84%d9%91%d9%85-%d9%86%d9%81%d8%b3-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d9%88%d8%b6%d9%88%d8%b9-%d8%b9%d8%af%d8%a9-%d9%85\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0645\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639\u0629 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0621\u0629<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0623\u062d\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0623\u0646 \u0623\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0646\u0641\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0636\u0648\u0639 \u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0631\u0627\u062a\u061f&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[70,80],"tags":[79,82,81],"class_list":["post-514","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-70","category-80","tag-79","tag-82","tag-81","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/akhmees.info\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/514","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/akhmees.info\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/akhmees.info\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/akhmees.info\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/akhmees.info\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=514"}],"version-history":[{"count":12,"href":"https:\/\/akhmees.info\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/514\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":534,"href":"https:\/\/akhmees.info\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/514\/revisions\/534"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/akhmees.info\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=514"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/akhmees.info\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=514"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/akhmees.info\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=514"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}